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Why Debt Isn’t Cheap Money Anymore

March 12, 2026

For over a decade, debt was practically free. Businesses borrowed to grow, invest, and bridge gaps — and the cost was almost negligible. That era is over, and it’s not coming back anytime soon.

The prime rate sits at 6.75% as of April 2026, down from its 2023 peak but still elevated by any historical standard. Small business bank loans are running 6.99% to 11.5%. SBA 7(a) variable rates can climb to 9.75%–13.25%. Bridge loans and online lenders push even higher. The businesses that adapt their financial strategy to this reality will be in a much stronger position than those waiting for a return to cheap money.

The Math Has Changed

A loan that cost 3% to 4% during the low-rate years now runs nearly double that — or more. On a $500,000 balance, the difference between a 3.5% rate and a 10% rate is roughly $32,000 in additional annual interest coming directly out of your operating cash flow. Stack multiple obligations, and that number compounds fast.

Refinancing flexibility has narrowed too. When rates were low, rolling debt over or consolidating was a reliable lever. Now, refinancing may mean stepping into a higher rate than you’re currently carrying. Lenders are also more selective — tighter standards, stricter documentation, less room to negotiate. Walking into any lender conversation without clean financials is a costly mistake in this environment.

Do a Debt Structure Audit

Before you can make smart decisions, you need a complete picture of what you actually owe — not just the monthly payment.

Map your fixed vs. variable exposure first. Variable-rate debt is tied to benchmarks like the prime rate, and with Fed cuts expected to be slow through 2026, any variable obligation deserves a close look. Then build out your maturity timeline — when does each loan come due? A balloon payment 18 months out requires a completely different strategy than long-term fixed debt. Finally, review your covenants. Many business loans include minimum revenue thresholds or debt coverage requirements. If your performance has shifted since you signed, make sure you’re still inside those terms — violations can trigger accelerated repayment even if you’re current on payments.

If you locked in a fixed rate below 6% a few years ago, refinancing into today’s market likely doesn’t make sense — hold it. If you’re carrying variable SBA debt in the 10–13% range, or high-cost bridge financing, refinancing into a conventional product or SBA 504 (currently starting around 5.61%) may pencil out.

Beyond rate comparisons, look at your cash flow capacity. If debt service is consuming a significant portion of your monthly cash, accelerating payoff on your highest-rate obligations may free up more than any operational improvement could. If cash flow is strong and predictable, carrying the debt strategically may be the better move — especially if that capital is generating strong returns elsewhere in the business.

Stress-Test Before You Need To

Model what happens to your debt service if revenue drops 15% or 25%. Can you cover your obligations without significant cuts? If not, your debt load is more fragile than your current performance suggests.

Track your debt service coverage ratio — EBITDA divided by total debt service. Most lenders want to see it above 1.25x. Monitoring it internally tells you how much real cushion you have. Pair that with a liquidity floor: the minimum cash balance your business needs to operate. If a 60-day revenue disruption would push you below it, that’s a risk worth addressing now — not when it’s happening.

The Bottom Line

Debt is a tool. In this rate environment, it’s a more expensive one than it was — and the businesses that acknowledge that, audit their exposure, and plan accordingly are the ones that won’t get caught off guard. If you haven’t reviewed your debt structure recently, that review is overdue. If you’re looking for help with accounting and bookkeeping, contact us! Our team is ready to help you gain financial clarity so you make business decisions that drive growth and success.